How to do automatic forecasting using AutoARIMA
, AutoETS
, AutoCES
and AutoTheta
.
Tip Automatic forecasts of large numbers of univariate time series are often needed. It is common to have multiple product lines or skus that need forecasting. In these circumstances, an automatic forecasting algorithm is an essential tool. Automatic forecasting algorithms must determine an appropriate time series model, estimate the parameters and compute the forecasts. They must be robust to unusual time series patterns, and applicable to large numbers of series without user intervention.
.forecast
method is faster for distributed computing and does not
save the fittted models
unique_id | ds | AutoARIMA | AutoETS | AutoTheta | CES | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
0 | 1.0 | 1961-01-31 | 444.309575 | 442.357169 | 442.940797 | 453.03418 |
.fit
method saves the fitted models
unique_id | ds | AutoARIMA | AutoETS | AutoTheta | CES | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
0 | 1.0 | 1961-01-31 | 444.309575 | 442.357169 | 442.940797 | 453.03418 |